**PAGASA forecasts a daily high of 34°C for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with current observations around 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.** The onset of the southwest monsoon typically brings increased cloud cover and convective activity that limits peak heating, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C. Recent station data from Science Garden (Quezon City) recorded a 34.3°C maximum the prior day, while broader regional highs reached 35–37°C in less urbanized areas before monsoon influences strengthened. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (65%) over 34°C (29%), reflecting trader expectations that afternoon showers and higher humidity will suppress the maximum by 1–2°C below the official forecast. This aligns with historical patterns during early monsoon transition, when localized thunderstorms frequently prevent temperatures from sustaining above 33°C in central Manila. Key resolution hinges on the official PAGASA maximum at the primary Metro Manila station, with minimal probability assigned to extremes (35°C+ or below 32°C) given stable steering patterns and moderate wind speeds. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 70%
34°C 28%
35°C 5%
36°C <1%
$19,897 ปริมาณ
$19,897 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
70%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 28%
35°C 5%
36°C <1%
$19,897 ปริมาณ
$19,897 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$537 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,045 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,972 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$3,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$2,905 ปริมาณ
70%
34°C
$1,972 ปริมาณ
28%
35°C
$2,112 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C
$2,615 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$960 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA forecasts a daily high of 34°C for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with current observations around 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.** The onset of the southwest monsoon typically brings increased cloud cover and convective activity that limits peak heating, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C. Recent station data from Science Garden (Quezon City) recorded a 34.3°C maximum the prior day, while broader regional highs reached 35–37°C in less urbanized areas before monsoon influences strengthened.
Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (65%) over 34°C (29%), reflecting trader expectations that afternoon showers and higher humidity will suppress the maximum by 1–2°C below the official forecast. This aligns with historical patterns during early monsoon transition, when localized thunderstorms frequently prevent temperatures from sustaining above 33°C in central Manila. Key resolution hinges on the official PAGASA maximum at the primary Metro Manila station, with minimal probability assigned to extremes (35°C+ or below 32°C) given stable steering patterns and moderate wind speeds. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,897วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA forecasts a daily high of 34°C for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with current observations around 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.** The onset of the southwest monsoon typically brings increased cloud cover and convective activity that limits peak heating, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C. Recent station data from Science Garden (Quezon City) recorded a 34.3°C maximum the prior day, while broader regional highs reached 35–37°C in less urbanized areas before monsoon influences strengthened.
Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (65%) over 34°C (29%), reflecting trader expectations that afternoon showers and higher humidity will suppress the maximum by 1–2°C below the official forecast. This aligns with historical patterns during early monsoon transition, when localized thunderstorms frequently prevent temperatures from sustaining above 33°C in central Manila. Key resolution hinges on the official PAGASA maximum at the primary Metro Manila station, with minimal probability assigned to extremes (35°C+ or below 32°C) given stable steering patterns and moderate wind speeds. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,897วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**PAGASA forecasts a daily high of 34°C for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, with current observations around 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.** The onset of the southwest monsoon typically brings increased cloud cover and convective activity that limits peak heating, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C. Recent station data from Science Garden (Quezon City) recorded a 34.3°C maximum the prior day, while broader regional highs reached 35–37°C in less urbanized areas before monsoon influences strengthened. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (65%) over 34°C (29%), reflecting trader expectations that afternoon showers and higher humidity will suppress the maximum by 1–2°C below the official forecast. This aligns with historical patterns during early monsoon transition, when localized thunderstorms frequently prevent temperatures from sustaining above 33°C in central Manila. Key resolution hinges on the official PAGASA maximum at the primary Metro Manila station, with minimal probability assigned to extremes (35°C+ or below 32°C) given stable steering patterns and moderate wind speeds. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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