Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps typical August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 26°C and 27°C because recent model guidance and early-month observations show afternoon highs reaching those levels before convective clouds and showers develop. The rainy season's increased humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms limit further warming, while light winds and variable cloud cover determine whether peaks settle at 25°C or briefly touch 28°C. Official station data from the prior days align with these ranges, and no major heatwave or clear-sky anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution. Upcoming NHC and local meteorological updates will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 5?
26°C 49%
27°C 33%
28°C 11%
25°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
33%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 33%
28°C 11%
25°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$164 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$765 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$519 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$1,316 ปริมาณ
49%
27°C
$456 ปริมาณ
33%
28°C
$353 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$256 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$360 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$248 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$587 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$597 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps typical August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 26°C and 27°C because recent model guidance and early-month observations show afternoon highs reaching those levels before convective clouds and showers develop. The rainy season's increased humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms limit further warming, while light winds and variable cloud cover determine whether peaks settle at 25°C or briefly touch 28°C. Official station data from the prior days align with these ranges, and no major heatwave or clear-sky anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution. Upcoming NHC and local meteorological updates will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,620วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps typical August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 26°C and 27°C because recent model guidance and early-month observations show afternoon highs reaching those levels before convective clouds and showers develop. The rainy season's increased humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms limit further warming, while light winds and variable cloud cover determine whether peaks settle at 25°C or briefly touch 28°C. Official station data from the prior days align with these ranges, and no major heatwave or clear-sky anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution. Upcoming NHC and local meteorological updates will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,620วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps typical August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 26°C and 27°C because recent model guidance and early-month observations show afternoon highs reaching those levels before convective clouds and showers develop. The rainy season's increased humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms limit further warming, while light winds and variable cloud cover determine whether peaks settle at 25°C or briefly touch 28°C. Official station data from the prior days align with these ranges, and no major heatwave or clear-sky anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution. Upcoming NHC and local meteorological updates will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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