**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 5?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$26,383 ปริมาณ
$26,383 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$26,383 ปริมาณ
$26,383 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$938 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$267 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$434 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$440 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,625 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,752 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$5,070 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$6,384 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,901 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,696 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$1,876 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,383วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,383วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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