Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
32°C 39%
33°C or higher 32%
31°C 24%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
24%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
32%
32°C 39%
33°C or higher 32%
31°C 24%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$560 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$212 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$325 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$379 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$1,244 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$462 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$647 ปริมาณ
39%
33°C or higher
$1,337 ปริมาณ
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,304วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,304วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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