Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 94%
31°C or higher 6%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$24,649 ปริมาณ
$24,649 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
94%
31°C or higher
6%
30°C 94%
31°C or higher 6%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$24,649 ปริมาณ
$24,649 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
$517 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$544 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$636 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,144 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,880 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,967 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,381 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$3,148 ปริมาณ
94%
31°C or higher
$4,383 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,649วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,649วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration positions Qingdao’s June 11 high near 30°C, driven by warm southwesterly flow and typical early-summer heating under mostly fine conditions at Jiaodong International Airport. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited downside risk below 29°C given observed afternoon warming trends and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals. This scientific context underpins the market’s heavy 89% weighting on exactly 30°C while assigning a modest 12% tail to 31°C or above if daytime peaks exceed guidance. Traders monitor the final official observation for resolution, with any late-model adjustments likely to refine the narrow implied-probability band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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