**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 31, driven by a forecast of widespread cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models shows highs likely in the 24–28°C range, with peaks suppressed by reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 27–29°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler outcome near or below average. Traders are weighting model consensus and recent cooling trends from persistent cloudiness, while noting that clearer breaks or delayed rain could still push the peak toward the upper bins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
23°C 36%
27°C 22%
26°C 19%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
9%
23°C
36%
24°C
14%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
7%
23°C 36%
27°C 22%
26°C 19%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$10 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 31, driven by a forecast of widespread cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models shows highs likely in the 24–28°C range, with peaks suppressed by reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 27–29°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler outcome near or below average. Traders are weighting model consensus and recent cooling trends from persistent cloudiness, while noting that clearer breaks or delayed rain could still push the peak toward the upper bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 31, driven by a forecast of widespread cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models shows highs likely in the 24–28°C range, with peaks suppressed by reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 27–29°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler outcome near or below average. Traders are weighting model consensus and recent cooling trends from persistent cloudiness, while noting that clearer breaks or delayed rain could still push the peak toward the upper bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Equal market-implied odds across temperature bins reflect substantial uncertainty in the exact daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 31, driven by a forecast of widespread cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models shows highs likely in the 24–28°C range, with peaks suppressed by reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 27–29°C under clearer skies, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler outcome near or below average. Traders are weighting model consensus and recent cooling trends from persistent cloudiness, while noting that clearer breaks or delayed rain could still push the peak toward the upper bins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย