Latest forecast guidance from European and global models centers the Warsaw maximum near 19–20 °C on June 13, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit daytime cloud cover while weak south-westerly flow and modest boundary-layer moisture keep temperatures from climbing much higher; isolated showers later in the day could cap the peak if they develop earlier than currently modeled. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high near 22 °C, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly. Ensemble spread remains on the order of ±2 °C, leaving the precise resolution sensitive to the next 00Z and 12Z runs from the ECMWF and GFS, which will refine the timing of any convective activity and the strength of the surface ridge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 30%
19°C 23%
18°C 22%
17°C 9.4%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
2%
20°C 30%
19°C 23%
18°C 22%
17°C 9.4%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from European and global models centers the Warsaw maximum near 19–20 °C on June 13, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit daytime cloud cover while weak south-westerly flow and modest boundary-layer moisture keep temperatures from climbing much higher; isolated showers later in the day could cap the peak if they develop earlier than currently modeled. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high near 22 °C, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly. Ensemble spread remains on the order of ±2 °C, leaving the precise resolution sensitive to the next 00Z and 12Z runs from the ECMWF and GFS, which will refine the timing of any convective activity and the strength of the surface ridge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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