**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
32°C or higher 97%
30°C 18%
31°C 5%
29°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
72%
32°C or higher 97%
30°C 18%
31°C 5%
29°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$85 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
31°C
$108 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C or higher
$885 ปริมาณ
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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