Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows moderate activity levels through mid-May 2026, with several magnitude 5.0–5.7 events recorded in the western United States, including a notable 5.5 quake near Silver Springs, Nevada, and aftershocks, alongside others near Tonga, the Solomon Islands, Taiwan, and the Philippines. These developments align with typical weekly frequencies of 5–10 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic plate interactions along major fault zones. Market-implied odds favoring 6 or 7 events reflect this steady baseline rate plus the recent Nevada swarm and Pacific Rim clusters, while the low probability for extremes accounts for the absence of major aftershock sequences or new subduction zone triggers that could push counts higher before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 58.3%
8 7.0%
9 3.7%
5 1.0%
$133,872 ปริมาณ
$133,872 ปริมาณ
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
37%
7
45%
8
13%
9
4%
>9
<1%
6 58.3%
8 7.0%
9 3.7%
5 1.0%
$133,872 ปริมาณ
$133,872 ปริมาณ
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
37%
7
45%
8
13%
9
4%
>9
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows moderate activity levels through mid-May 2026, with several magnitude 5.0–5.7 events recorded in the western United States, including a notable 5.5 quake near Silver Springs, Nevada, and aftershocks, alongside others near Tonga, the Solomon Islands, Taiwan, and the Philippines. These developments align with typical weekly frequencies of 5–10 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes worldwide, driven by ongoing tectonic plate interactions along major fault zones. Market-implied odds favoring 6 or 7 events reflect this steady baseline rate plus the recent Nevada swarm and Pacific Rim clusters, while the low probability for extremes accounts for the absence of major aftershock sequences or new subduction zone triggers that could push counts higher before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย