Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s confirmed death in recent U.S.-Israeli strikes has shifted control of his official X account to institutional management under Iran’s post-transition leadership. With the Supreme Leader no longer issuing personal statements, activity on @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels has dropped sharply, producing trader consensus that fewer than five posts will appear during the June 12–19 window. Historical patterns show the account typically released multiple statements weekly during periods of active diplomacy or conflict; the current vacuum, combined with ongoing succession negotiations and restricted Iranian internet access, supports the heavy weighting toward minimal output. Scheduled events such as any early mourning-period announcements or regime messaging could still alter the range, though structural constraints make elevated volume unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 87%
5-9 7%
15-19 3.8%
25-29 2.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 19, 2026
<5
87%
5-9
7%
10-14
1%
15-19
4%
20-24
3%
25-29
3%
30-34
2%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 87%
5-9 7%
15-19 3.8%
25-29 2.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 19, 2026
<5
$294 ปริมาณ
87%
5-9
$61 ปริมาณ
7%
10-14
$70 ปริมาณ
1%
15-19
$80 ปริมาณ
4%
20-24
$88 ปริมาณ
3%
25-29
$70 ปริมาณ
3%
30-34
$73 ปริมาณ
2%
35-39
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-44
$61 ปริมาณ
<1%
45-49
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-54
$94 ปริมาณ
<1%
55-59
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
60+
$38 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s confirmed death in recent U.S.-Israeli strikes has shifted control of his official X account to institutional management under Iran’s post-transition leadership. With the Supreme Leader no longer issuing personal statements, activity on @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels has dropped sharply, producing trader consensus that fewer than five posts will appear during the June 12–19 window. Historical patterns show the account typically released multiple statements weekly during periods of active diplomacy or conflict; the current vacuum, combined with ongoing succession negotiations and restricted Iranian internet access, supports the heavy weighting toward minimal output. Scheduled events such as any early mourning-period announcements or regime messaging could still alter the range, though structural constraints make elevated volume unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,069วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s confirmed death in recent U.S.-Israeli strikes has shifted control of his official X account to institutional management under Iran’s post-transition leadership. With the Supreme Leader no longer issuing personal statements, activity on @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels has dropped sharply, producing trader consensus that fewer than five posts will appear during the June 12–19 window. Historical patterns show the account typically released multiple statements weekly during periods of active diplomacy or conflict; the current vacuum, combined with ongoing succession negotiations and restricted Iranian internet access, supports the heavy weighting toward minimal output. Scheduled events such as any early mourning-period announcements or regime messaging could still alter the range, though structural constraints make elevated volume unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,069วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s confirmed death in recent U.S.-Israeli strikes has shifted control of his official X account to institutional management under Iran’s post-transition leadership. With the Supreme Leader no longer issuing personal statements, activity on @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels has dropped sharply, producing trader consensus that fewer than five posts will appear during the June 12–19 window. Historical patterns show the account typically released multiple statements weekly during periods of active diplomacy or conflict; the current vacuum, combined with ongoing succession negotiations and restricted Iranian internet access, supports the heavy weighting toward minimal output. Scheduled events such as any early mourning-period announcements or regime messaging could still alter the range, though structural constraints make elevated volume unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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