Recent ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on September 2 point to minimum temperatures in the 13–16°C range under moderate southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, creating tight clustering around 15–18°C that explains the near-even market split between 18°C (50.0%) and 19°C or higher (50.0%). Atlantic air masses and limited radiational cooling overnight keep extremes unlikely, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 12°C while current model runs show slightly milder conditions. Key variables differentiating the leading outcomes include the exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts, which could raise or suppress the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
18°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
15°C 97%
16°C 97%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
13%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
96%
15°C
97%
16°C
97%
17°C
97%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
18°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
15°C 97%
16°C 97%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
10°C
$63 ปริมาณ
13%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
97%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
97%
17°C
$20 ปริมาณ
97%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
19°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on September 2 point to minimum temperatures in the 13–16°C range under moderate southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, creating tight clustering around 15–18°C that explains the near-even market split between 18°C (50.0%) and 19°C or higher (50.0%). Atlantic air masses and limited radiational cooling overnight keep extremes unlikely, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 12°C while current model runs show slightly milder conditions. Key variables differentiating the leading outcomes include the exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts, which could raise or suppress the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on September 2 point to minimum temperatures in the 13–16°C range under moderate southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, creating tight clustering around 15–18°C that explains the near-even market split between 18°C (50.0%) and 19°C or higher (50.0%). Atlantic air masses and limited radiational cooling overnight keep extremes unlikely, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 12°C while current model runs show slightly milder conditions. Key variables differentiating the leading outcomes include the exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts, which could raise or suppress the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on September 2 point to minimum temperatures in the 13–16°C range under moderate southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, creating tight clustering around 15–18°C that explains the near-even market split between 18°C (50.0%) and 19°C or higher (50.0%). Atlantic air masses and limited radiational cooling overnight keep extremes unlikely, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 12°C while current model runs show slightly milder conditions. Key variables differentiating the leading outcomes include the exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts, which could raise or suppress the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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