Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Amsterdam’s overnight low on September 1 near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. A surface high near 1020 hPa limits cloud cover and radiative cooling while maritime air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Historical Schiphol data show September 1 lows averaging 12.3 °C, so the present mild pattern slightly favors the upper side of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 00Z–12Z model cycles, where small shifts in wind speed or nocturnal cloud thickness can move the minimum between 13 °C and 15 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 1?
20°C or higher 30%
15°C 30%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
10%
12°C
19%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
30%
20°C or higher 30%
15°C 30%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Amsterdam’s overnight low on September 1 near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. A surface high near 1020 hPa limits cloud cover and radiative cooling while maritime air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Historical Schiphol data show September 1 lows averaging 12.3 °C, so the present mild pattern slightly favors the upper side of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 00Z–12Z model cycles, where small shifts in wind speed or nocturnal cloud thickness can move the minimum between 13 °C and 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Amsterdam’s overnight low on September 1 near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. A surface high near 1020 hPa limits cloud cover and radiative cooling while maritime air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Historical Schiphol data show September 1 lows averaging 12.3 °C, so the present mild pattern slightly favors the upper side of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 00Z–12Z model cycles, where small shifts in wind speed or nocturnal cloud thickness can move the minimum between 13 °C and 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Amsterdam’s overnight low on September 1 near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. A surface high near 1020 hPa limits cloud cover and radiative cooling while maritime air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Historical Schiphol data show September 1 lows averaging 12.3 °C, so the present mild pattern slightly favors the upper side of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 00Z–12Z model cycles, where small shifts in wind speed or nocturnal cloud thickness can move the minimum between 13 °C and 15 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย