Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Météo-France guidance, indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 most likely near 23–25°C under persistent cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects a cooling Atlantic influence that has kept recent daily maxima 2–3°C below early-August peaks, limiting daytime heating despite the late-summer solar angle. Low precipitation chances (generally under 20%) and moderate humidity further support modest warming, consistent with the climatological average high of ~24°C for the date. Trader consensus around 24°C (37.5% implied probability) and 25°C (25%) mirrors this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any late frontal passage. New high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 30?
24°C 47%
25°C 26%
23°C 19%
22°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C
19%
24°C
38%
25°C
26%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
7%
24°C 47%
25°C 26%
23°C 19%
22°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C
19%
24°C
38%
25°C
26%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Météo-France guidance, indicate a highest temperature in Paris on August 30 most likely near 23–25°C under persistent cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects a cooling Atlantic influence that has kept recent daily maxima 2–3°C below early-August peaks, limiting daytime heating despite the late-summer solar angle. Low precipitation chances (generally under 20%) and moderate humidity further support modest warming, consistent with the climatological average high of ~24°C for the date. Trader consensus around 24°C (37.5% implied probability) and 25°C (25%) mirrors this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any late frontal passage. New high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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