Recent model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a minimum near 4–6 °C overnight into August 21, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, building high pressure, and light winds that promote radiative cooling under partly clear skies. August climatology in Buenos Aires features average lows of 8–11 °C, so the current cold spell—following minima of 5–9 °C on prior days—has pulled expectations downward without a strong polar outbreak capable of pushing readings to 0 °C or below. Small differences in cloud cover, exact high-pressure timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 1–6 °C versus the modest premium still attached to sub-zero outcomes if cooling exceeds guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 21?
1°C 28%
2°C 28%
3°C 28%
4°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
-1°C or below
27%
0°C
22%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
28%
4°C
28%
5°C
28%
6°C
27%
7°C
27%
8°C
21%
9°C or higher
2%
1°C 28%
2°C 28%
3°C 28%
4°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
-1°C or below
$31 ปริมาณ
27%
0°C
$5 ปริมาณ
22%
1°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
2°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
3°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
4°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
8°C
$5 ปริมาณ
21%
9°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a minimum near 4–6 °C overnight into August 21, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, building high pressure, and light winds that promote radiative cooling under partly clear skies. August climatology in Buenos Aires features average lows of 8–11 °C, so the current cold spell—following minima of 5–9 °C on prior days—has pulled expectations downward without a strong polar outbreak capable of pushing readings to 0 °C or below. Small differences in cloud cover, exact high-pressure timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 1–6 °C versus the modest premium still attached to sub-zero outcomes if cooling exceeds guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a minimum near 4–6 °C overnight into August 21, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, building high pressure, and light winds that promote radiative cooling under partly clear skies. August climatology in Buenos Aires features average lows of 8–11 °C, so the current cold spell—following minima of 5–9 °C on prior days—has pulled expectations downward without a strong polar outbreak capable of pushing readings to 0 °C or below. Small differences in cloud cover, exact high-pressure timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 1–6 °C versus the modest premium still attached to sub-zero outcomes if cooling exceeds guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a minimum near 4–6 °C overnight into August 21, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, building high pressure, and light winds that promote radiative cooling under partly clear skies. August climatology in Buenos Aires features average lows of 8–11 °C, so the current cold spell—following minima of 5–9 °C on prior days—has pulled expectations downward without a strong polar outbreak capable of pushing readings to 0 °C or below. Small differences in cloud cover, exact high-pressure timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 1–6 °C versus the modest premium still attached to sub-zero outcomes if cooling exceeds guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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