**Current short-range forecasts for Cape Town point to an overnight minimum near 14–15°C on September 11, 2026, amid mild spring conditions with southerly winds and limited cloud cover.** Recent observations show daytime highs of 19–22°C and overnight lows of 13–14°C through early September, consistent with the influence of the Benguela Current and typical post-winter warming. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between a low of 10°C or below (49.5%) and 20°C or higher (49.0%) because numerical weather prediction models exhibit modest spread in key variables: the strength and timing of radiative cooling under clear skies versus mixing from gusty winds (often 15–25 km/h from the south-southeast). Historical September climatology places average minimums around 9–11°C, yet current high-pressure dominance has kept recent nights milder, creating genuine uncertainty around the exact threshold. Upcoming model runs and official guidance from the South African Weather Service over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range by refining wind and cloud forecasts. This tight market reflects the inherent limits of resolving small temperature differences in a coastal Mediterranean climate zone where local topography and marine influences amplify variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 11?
10°C or below 99%
20°C or higher 98%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
10°C or below
99%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C or higher
98%
10°C or below 99%
20°C or higher 98%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
10°C or below
99%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts for Cape Town point to an overnight minimum near 14–15°C on September 11, 2026, amid mild spring conditions with southerly winds and limited cloud cover.** Recent observations show daytime highs of 19–22°C and overnight lows of 13–14°C through early September, consistent with the influence of the Benguela Current and typical post-winter warming. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between a low of 10°C or below (49.5%) and 20°C or higher (49.0%) because numerical weather prediction models exhibit modest spread in key variables: the strength and timing of radiative cooling under clear skies versus mixing from gusty winds (often 15–25 km/h from the south-southeast). Historical September climatology places average minimums around 9–11°C, yet current high-pressure dominance has kept recent nights milder, creating genuine uncertainty around the exact threshold. Upcoming model runs and official guidance from the South African Weather Service over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range by refining wind and cloud forecasts. This tight market reflects the inherent limits of resolving small temperature differences in a coastal Mediterranean climate zone where local topography and marine influences amplify variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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