Recent forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 11, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities clustered around the 24°C and 25°C outcomes while the near-even split between the 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below buckets reflects trader caution over possible shifts from incoming weather systems or model updates. Historical September averages for the region place typical overnight lows around 25–26°C, underscoring that current guidance sits within climatological norms absent stronger cooling influences such as heavy rainfall or atypical wind patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
30°C or higher 92%
20°C or below 87%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
87%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C
27%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
92%
30°C or higher 92%
20°C or below 87%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
87%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
37%
24°C
23%
25°C
27%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 11, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities clustered around the 24°C and 25°C outcomes while the near-even split between the 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below buckets reflects trader caution over possible shifts from incoming weather systems or model updates. Historical September averages for the region place typical overnight lows around 25–26°C, underscoring that current guidance sits within climatological norms absent stronger cooling influences such as heavy rainfall or atypical wind patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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