Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 10, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light northeasterly winds under subtropical monsoon conditions. These factors reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer autumn nights, aligning with September climatology of 24°C average lows. Trader consensus favoring 29°C+ or 25°C outcomes reflects recent warm anomalies and model runs showing limited cooling potential, while lower bins account for possible heavier rain or stronger winds enhancing heat loss. Updated short-range guidance expected before midnight local time could refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
29°C or higher 66%
19°C or below 42%
25°C 33%
20°C 29%
19°C or below
42%
20°C
29%
21°C
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
15%
24°C
26%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
66%
29°C or higher 66%
19°C or below 42%
25°C 33%
20°C 29%
19°C or below
42%
20°C
29%
21°C
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
15%
24°C
26%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 10, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light northeasterly winds under subtropical monsoon conditions. These factors reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer autumn nights, aligning with September climatology of 24°C average lows. Trader consensus favoring 29°C+ or 25°C outcomes reflects recent warm anomalies and model runs showing limited cooling potential, while lower bins account for possible heavier rain or stronger winds enhancing heat loss. Updated short-range guidance expected before midnight local time could refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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