Forecast models for Cape Town on September 10 indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C under southerly winds of 20–25 km/h and increasing cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market’s leading 15°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daytime temperatures several degrees above the long-term September minimum average of roughly 11°C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal pattern with minimal precipitation. Slight differences among 13°C, 14°C, and lower outcomes stem from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and localized urban heat effects that can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Official station data from the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once the 24-hour period ends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
9°C or below 51%
15°C 40%
14°C 26%
13°C 25%
9°C or below
51%
10°C
15%
11°C
23%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
14%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
12%
9°C or below 51%
15°C 40%
14°C 26%
13°C 25%
9°C or below
51%
10°C
15%
11°C
23%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
14%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Cape Town on September 10 indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C under southerly winds of 20–25 km/h and increasing cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market’s leading 15°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daytime temperatures several degrees above the long-term September minimum average of roughly 11°C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal pattern with minimal precipitation. Slight differences among 13°C, 14°C, and lower outcomes stem from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and localized urban heat effects that can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Official station data from the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once the 24-hour period ends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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