National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s for Chicago on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning 66-67°F as the leading market outcome. This aligns with climatological norms near 65°F while reflecting current high-pressure dominance that limits cooling, with recent runs showing minimal spread between 64-67°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official guidance against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures, with lower buckets like 62-63°F reflecting downside risks if radiational cooling strengthens overnight. Upcoming NWS updates and any late-model shifts in dew points or cloud cover will likely drive the next adjustments in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 22?
66-67°F 46%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
46%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 46%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
55°F or below
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
56-57°F
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
72-73°F
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
74°F or higher
$52 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s for Chicago on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning 66-67°F as the leading market outcome. This aligns with climatological norms near 65°F while reflecting current high-pressure dominance that limits cooling, with recent runs showing minimal spread between 64-67°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official guidance against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures, with lower buckets like 62-63°F reflecting downside risks if radiational cooling strengthens overnight. Upcoming NWS updates and any late-model shifts in dew points or cloud cover will likely drive the next adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s for Chicago on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning 66-67°F as the leading market outcome. This aligns with climatological norms near 65°F while reflecting current high-pressure dominance that limits cooling, with recent runs showing minimal spread between 64-67°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official guidance against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures, with lower buckets like 62-63°F reflecting downside risks if radiational cooling strengthens overnight. Upcoming NWS updates and any late-model shifts in dew points or cloud cover will likely drive the next adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s for Chicago on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light winds, positioning 66-67°F as the leading market outcome. This aligns with climatological norms near 65°F while reflecting current high-pressure dominance that limits cooling, with recent runs showing minimal spread between 64-67°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official guidance against typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures, with lower buckets like 62-63°F reflecting downside risks if radiational cooling strengthens overnight. Upcoming NWS updates and any late-model shifts in dew points or cloud cover will likely drive the next adjustments in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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