Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over Chicago with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, producing overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s °F for September 2. This stems from strong southerly advection ahead of any frontal passage, elevated dew points near 70 °F limiting radiational cooling, and urban heat retention that often keeps city minima several degrees above rural surroundings. Historical September 2 averages near 64 °F highlight the anomaly, though model consensus remains tight with limited spread in guidance. Trader-implied odds clustered evenly across 68–85 °F bins reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum timing, potential late-day shower effects on boundary-layer mixing, and possible minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
68-69°F 100%
70-71°F 100%
72-73°F 100%
74-75°F 100%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
67°F or below
98%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
100%
86°F or higher
98%
68-69°F 100%
70-71°F 100%
72-73°F 100%
74-75°F 100%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
67°F or below
$15 ปริมาณ
98%
68-69°F
$15 ปริมาณ
100%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
82-83°F
$15 ปริมาณ
100%
84-85°F
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
86°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over Chicago with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, producing overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s °F for September 2. This stems from strong southerly advection ahead of any frontal passage, elevated dew points near 70 °F limiting radiational cooling, and urban heat retention that often keeps city minima several degrees above rural surroundings. Historical September 2 averages near 64 °F highlight the anomaly, though model consensus remains tight with limited spread in guidance. Trader-implied odds clustered evenly across 68–85 °F bins reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum timing, potential late-day shower effects on boundary-layer mixing, and possible minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over Chicago with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, producing overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s °F for September 2. This stems from strong southerly advection ahead of any frontal passage, elevated dew points near 70 °F limiting radiational cooling, and urban heat retention that often keeps city minima several degrees above rural surroundings. Historical September 2 averages near 64 °F highlight the anomaly, though model consensus remains tight with limited spread in guidance. Trader-implied odds clustered evenly across 68–85 °F bins reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum timing, potential late-day shower effects on boundary-layer mixing, and possible minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a persistent warm, humid air mass over Chicago with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, producing overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s °F for September 2. This stems from strong southerly advection ahead of any frontal passage, elevated dew points near 70 °F limiting radiational cooling, and urban heat retention that often keeps city minima several degrees above rural surroundings. Historical September 2 averages near 64 °F highlight the anomaly, though model consensus remains tight with limited spread in guidance. Trader-implied odds clustered evenly across 68–85 °F bins reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum timing, potential late-day shower effects on boundary-layer mixing, and possible minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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