The market's near-certain 64-65°F outcome for Denver's August 28 low reflects the official National Weather Service minimum of 60°F recorded at 4:13 AM MDT, which aligns closely with the bin after accounting for station specifics and rounding conventions in resolution criteria. This positioning stems from clear, dry conditions under high pressure that prevented significant overnight cooling despite a seasonal normal low near 56°F. With all other bins below 1% implied probability, traders have effectively priced in the verified observation from Denver International Airport data. Only a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an alternate measurement protocol could realistically shift the result, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Denver on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 28?
64-65°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
55°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,062 ปริมาณ
$1,062 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
55°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,062 ปริมาณ
$1,062 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
55°F or below
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
56-57°F
$49 ปริมาณ
1%
58-59°F
$51 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$319 ปริมาณ
100%
66-67°F
$113 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$38 ปริมาณ
<1%
74°F or higher
$70 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 64-65°F outcome for Denver's August 28 low reflects the official National Weather Service minimum of 60°F recorded at 4:13 AM MDT, which aligns closely with the bin after accounting for station specifics and rounding conventions in resolution criteria. This positioning stems from clear, dry conditions under high pressure that prevented significant overnight cooling despite a seasonal normal low near 56°F. With all other bins below 1% implied probability, traders have effectively priced in the verified observation from Denver International Airport data. Only a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an alternate measurement protocol could realistically shift the result, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,062วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 64-65°F outcome for Denver's August 28 low reflects the official National Weather Service minimum of 60°F recorded at 4:13 AM MDT, which aligns closely with the bin after accounting for station specifics and rounding conventions in resolution criteria. This positioning stems from clear, dry conditions under high pressure that prevented significant overnight cooling despite a seasonal normal low near 56°F. With all other bins below 1% implied probability, traders have effectively priced in the verified observation from Denver International Airport data. Only a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an alternate measurement protocol could realistically shift the result, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,062วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain 64-65°F outcome for Denver's August 28 low reflects the official National Weather Service minimum of 60°F recorded at 4:13 AM MDT, which aligns closely with the bin after accounting for station specifics and rounding conventions in resolution criteria. This positioning stems from clear, dry conditions under high pressure that prevented significant overnight cooling despite a seasonal normal low near 56°F. With all other bins below 1% implied probability, traders have effectively priced in the verified observation from Denver International Airport data. Only a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an alternate measurement protocol could realistically shift the result, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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