Trader sentiment centers on the 68–69°F bin because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 21 forecast an overnight low near 67–68°F at KLAX, consistent with the marine-layer regime typical of coastal Los Angeles in mid-August. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures within the narrow 65–70°F historical envelope rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent model runs show little change in the sea-breeze pattern or marine-stratus coverage, reducing the likelihood of the cooler 64–65°F or lower outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Warmer bins above 70°F remain improbable given the climatological ceiling on daily lows. Updated evening NWS briefings and any late-day marine-layer adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
68-69°F 83%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 16%
62-63°F 2%
$4,983 ปริมาณ
$4,983 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
89%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 83%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 16%
62-63°F 2%
$4,983 ปริมาณ
$4,983 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$54 ปริมาณ
2%
64-65°F
$10 ปริมาณ
16%
66-67°F
$10 ปริมาณ
27%
68-69°F
$123 ปริมาณ
89%
70-71°F
$718 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$2,181 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$811 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$465 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the 68–69°F bin because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 21 forecast an overnight low near 67–68°F at KLAX, consistent with the marine-layer regime typical of coastal Los Angeles in mid-August. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures within the narrow 65–70°F historical envelope rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent model runs show little change in the sea-breeze pattern or marine-stratus coverage, reducing the likelihood of the cooler 64–65°F or lower outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Warmer bins above 70°F remain improbable given the climatological ceiling on daily lows. Updated evening NWS briefings and any late-day marine-layer adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,983วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the 68–69°F bin because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 21 forecast an overnight low near 67–68°F at KLAX, consistent with the marine-layer regime typical of coastal Los Angeles in mid-August. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures within the narrow 65–70°F historical envelope rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent model runs show little change in the sea-breeze pattern or marine-stratus coverage, reducing the likelihood of the cooler 64–65°F or lower outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Warmer bins above 70°F remain improbable given the climatological ceiling on daily lows. Updated evening NWS briefings and any late-day marine-layer adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,983วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the 68–69°F bin because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 21 forecast an overnight low near 67–68°F at KLAX, consistent with the marine-layer regime typical of coastal Los Angeles in mid-August. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures within the narrow 65–70°F historical envelope rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent model runs show little change in the sea-breeze pattern or marine-stratus coverage, reducing the likelihood of the cooler 64–65°F or lower outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Warmer bins above 70°F remain improbable given the climatological ceiling on daily lows. Updated evening NWS briefings and any late-day marine-layer adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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