**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Typhoon Saudel/Obet, keeps Manila under mostly cloudy skies with scattered to frequent showers and thunderstorms through August 27.** This maintains high humidity (often 85–93%) and moderate southwest winds (10–15 mph or stronger gusts), limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C. Official and model guidance from PAGASA, Met Office, and others points to minimum temperatures in the 26–27°C range, with some ensembles showing 25–28°C depending on exact rain timing and cloud breaks. The tight market probabilities around 24–27°C (each ~25–26.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band: stronger or more persistent convection could suppress the low toward 24–25°C, while any temporary clearing might allow brief dips near 25°C or hold it at 26–27°C. Historical August norms for Manila (~26°C average low) align with current conditions, and no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 27?
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
24°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
13%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
24°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$13 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Typhoon Saudel/Obet, keeps Manila under mostly cloudy skies with scattered to frequent showers and thunderstorms through August 27.** This maintains high humidity (often 85–93%) and moderate southwest winds (10–15 mph or stronger gusts), limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C.
Official and model guidance from PAGASA, Met Office, and others points to minimum temperatures in the 26–27°C range, with some ensembles showing 25–28°C depending on exact rain timing and cloud breaks. The tight market probabilities around 24–27°C (each ~25–26.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band: stronger or more persistent convection could suppress the low toward 24–25°C, while any temporary clearing might allow brief dips near 25°C or hold it at 26–27°C. Historical August norms for Manila (~26°C average low) align with current conditions, and no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$178วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Typhoon Saudel/Obet, keeps Manila under mostly cloudy skies with scattered to frequent showers and thunderstorms through August 27.** This maintains high humidity (often 85–93%) and moderate southwest winds (10–15 mph or stronger gusts), limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C.
Official and model guidance from PAGASA, Met Office, and others points to minimum temperatures in the 26–27°C range, with some ensembles showing 25–28°C depending on exact rain timing and cloud breaks. The tight market probabilities around 24–27°C (each ~25–26.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band: stronger or more persistent convection could suppress the low toward 24–25°C, while any temporary clearing might allow brief dips near 25°C or hold it at 26–27°C. Historical August norms for Manila (~26°C average low) align with current conditions, and no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$178วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Typhoon Saudel/Obet, keeps Manila under mostly cloudy skies with scattered to frequent showers and thunderstorms through August 27.** This maintains high humidity (often 85–93%) and moderate southwest winds (10–15 mph or stronger gusts), limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C. Official and model guidance from PAGASA, Met Office, and others points to minimum temperatures in the 26–27°C range, with some ensembles showing 25–28°C depending on exact rain timing and cloud breaks. The tight market probabilities around 24–27°C (each ~25–26.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band: stronger or more persistent convection could suppress the low toward 24–25°C, while any temporary clearing might allow brief dips near 25°C or hold it at 26–27°C. Historical August norms for Manila (~26°C average low) align with current conditions, and no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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