Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus show Munich overnight lows stabilizing near 10–11°C on September 18, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 9.8°C and recent dry, westerly flow. This positions the most probable outcome squarely between the market’s leading 5°C-or-below (50.0% implied probability) and 15°C-or-higher (49.0% implied probability) contracts, with the 20% odds on each integer from 6–14°C reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will be the key data releases that could narrow trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 18?
5°C or below 100%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
100%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C or higher
5%
5°C or below 100%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus show Munich overnight lows stabilizing near 10–11°C on September 18, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 9.8°C and recent dry, westerly flow. This positions the most probable outcome squarely between the market’s leading 5°C-or-below (50.0% implied probability) and 15°C-or-higher (49.0% implied probability) contracts, with the 20% odds on each integer from 6–14°C reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will be the key data releases that could narrow trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus show Munich overnight lows stabilizing near 10–11°C on September 18, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 9.8°C and recent dry, westerly flow. This positions the most probable outcome squarely between the market’s leading 5°C-or-below (50.0% implied probability) and 15°C-or-higher (49.0% implied probability) contracts, with the 20% odds on each integer from 6–14°C reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will be the key data releases that could narrow trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus show Munich overnight lows stabilizing near 10–11°C on September 18, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 9.8°C and recent dry, westerly flow. This positions the most probable outcome squarely between the market’s leading 5°C-or-below (50.0% implied probability) and 15°C-or-higher (49.0% implied probability) contracts, with the 20% odds on each integer from 6–14°C reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will be the key data releases that could narrow trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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