Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,781 ปริมาณ
$19,781 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,781 ปริมาณ
$19,781 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$1,647 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$1,820 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$1,727 ปริมาณ
100%
15°C
$1,073 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$888 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$850 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$2,719 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$3,145 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,283 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,818 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$812 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,781วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,781วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITraders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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