Trader consensus around 17–19°C for Seoul/Incheon’s September 17 minimum reflects closely aligned forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models under persistent high pressure and easterly flow. Recent clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near seasonal norms of roughly 17–18°C. Minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across ensembles create the tight spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities below 10% for extremes align with low historical variability this time of year. Updated model runs and the final Incheon station observation will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
18°C 46%
19°C 32%
17°C 14%
22°C 7.0%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
45%
19°C
32%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 46%
19°C 32%
17°C 14%
22°C 7.0%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
45%
19°C
32%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 17–19°C for Seoul/Incheon’s September 17 minimum reflects closely aligned forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models under persistent high pressure and easterly flow. Recent clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near seasonal norms of roughly 17–18°C. Minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across ensembles create the tight spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities below 10% for extremes align with low historical variability this time of year. Updated model runs and the final Incheon station observation will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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