Singapore's equatorial location produces highly stable overnight lows, with August historical minima averaging near 25.3°C at Changi and rarely dropping below 24–25°C. Current forecasts from multiple models indicate 26–27°C for the night of August 31 amid southwest monsoon flow, scattered thundery showers, and persistently high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 26–27°C reflects these guidance values, while the notable 23% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling, plus model spread in exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Recent observations show several nights above 27°C, keeping cooler outcomes as lower-probability tail risks ahead of final data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
22°C or below 47%
25°C 42%
32°C or higher 41%
27°C 30%
22°C or below
47%
23°C
14%
24°C
29%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
41%
22°C or below 47%
25°C 42%
32°C or higher 41%
27°C 30%
22°C or below
47%
23°C
14%
24°C
29%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial location produces highly stable overnight lows, with August historical minima averaging near 25.3°C at Changi and rarely dropping below 24–25°C. Current forecasts from multiple models indicate 26–27°C for the night of August 31 amid southwest monsoon flow, scattered thundery showers, and persistently high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 26–27°C reflects these guidance values, while the notable 23% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling, plus model spread in exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Recent observations show several nights above 27°C, keeping cooler outcomes as lower-probability tail risks ahead of final data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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