Traders assign the highest implied probabilities (26-28%) to minimum temperatures of 27-28°C on August 30 because official forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models project nighttime lows in that range under persistent southwest monsoon flow. Warm, humid air advection from surrounding seas limits radiative cooling, while scattered thundery showers and high humidity (near 80-90%) further suppress temperature drops. Recent August observations show most nights remaining above 27°C, with only isolated cooler readings near 25°C possible under clearer skies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum at Changi or equivalent stations, with model runs and NEA updates likely to refine odds before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 30?
28°C 52%
24°C 47%
23°C 45%
27°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
-
23°C
45%
24°C
47%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 52%
24°C 47%
23°C 45%
27°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$18 ปริมาณ
-
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
45%
24°C
$195 ปริมาณ
47%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$17 ปริมาณ
28%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities (26-28%) to minimum temperatures of 27-28°C on August 30 because official forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models project nighttime lows in that range under persistent southwest monsoon flow. Warm, humid air advection from surrounding seas limits radiative cooling, while scattered thundery showers and high humidity (near 80-90%) further suppress temperature drops. Recent August observations show most nights remaining above 27°C, with only isolated cooler readings near 25°C possible under clearer skies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum at Changi or equivalent stations, with model runs and NEA updates likely to refine odds before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$471วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities (26-28%) to minimum temperatures of 27-28°C on August 30 because official forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models project nighttime lows in that range under persistent southwest monsoon flow. Warm, humid air advection from surrounding seas limits radiative cooling, while scattered thundery showers and high humidity (near 80-90%) further suppress temperature drops. Recent August observations show most nights remaining above 27°C, with only isolated cooler readings near 25°C possible under clearer skies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum at Changi or equivalent stations, with model runs and NEA updates likely to refine odds before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$471วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities (26-28%) to minimum temperatures of 27-28°C on August 30 because official forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models project nighttime lows in that range under persistent southwest monsoon flow. Warm, humid air advection from surrounding seas limits radiative cooling, while scattered thundery showers and high humidity (near 80-90%) further suppress temperature drops. Recent August observations show most nights remaining above 27°C, with only isolated cooler readings near 25°C possible under clearer skies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum at Changi or equivalent stations, with model runs and NEA updates likely to refine odds before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย