**Stable atmospheric conditions and warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures are anchoring overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–25°C on September 12.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international guidance show clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, limiting radiative cooling while high humidity (70–85%) and sea influence (around 28°C) prevent sharper drops. Historical September climatology supports typical daily minima of 22–25°C, with no incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts expected to alter the pattern before midnight. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 24°C (75%) and 23°C (48%) align with this consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only if models diverge toward greater cooling. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and local observations through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
24°C 99%
23°C 96%
19°C or below 19.4%
22°C 9%
19°C or below
19%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
96%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
23°C 96%
19°C or below 19.4%
22°C 9%
19°C or below
19%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
96%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Stable atmospheric conditions and warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures are anchoring overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–25°C on September 12.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international guidance show clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, limiting radiative cooling while high humidity (70–85%) and sea influence (around 28°C) prevent sharper drops. Historical September climatology supports typical daily minima of 22–25°C, with no incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts expected to alter the pattern before midnight. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 24°C (75%) and 23°C (48%) align with this consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C or below remain possible only if models diverge toward greater cooling. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and local observations through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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