The dominant 98.8% market-implied probability for an 18°C low in Tokyo on June 11 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts aligning closely with the seasonal normal minimum of 18.3°C, supported by current stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and typical early-summer patterns without significant frontal intrusions or radiative cooling anomalies. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 26°C with limited overnight temperature drops expected under mostly cloudy skies. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or station-specific measurement variations at the official Tokyo site could realistically alter the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
18°C 99.3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
ใหม่
$19,056 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,056 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
ใหม่
$19,056 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,056 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
$517 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$1,410 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$601 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$920 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$2,417 ปริมาณ
99%
19°C
$4,747 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$5,376 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$739 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 98.8% market-implied probability for an 18°C low in Tokyo on June 11 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts aligning closely with the seasonal normal minimum of 18.3°C, supported by current stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and typical early-summer patterns without significant frontal intrusions or radiative cooling anomalies. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 26°C with limited overnight temperature drops expected under mostly cloudy skies. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or station-specific measurement variations at the official Tokyo site could realistically alter the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,056วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 98.8% market-implied probability for an 18°C low in Tokyo on June 11 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts aligning closely with the seasonal normal minimum of 18.3°C, supported by current stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and typical early-summer patterns without significant frontal intrusions or radiative cooling anomalies. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 26°C with limited overnight temperature drops expected under mostly cloudy skies. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or station-specific measurement variations at the official Tokyo site could realistically alter the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,056วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 98.8% market-implied probability for an 18°C low in Tokyo on June 11 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts aligning closely with the seasonal normal minimum of 18.3°C, supported by current stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and typical early-summer patterns without significant frontal intrusions or radiative cooling anomalies. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 26°C with limited overnight temperature drops expected under mostly cloudy skies. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or station-specific measurement variations at the official Tokyo site could realistically alter the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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