Latest forecasts from MetService and global models point to a Wellington minimum near 10–11°C on August 30, driven by strong northwesterly winds (20–30+ knots) that promote mixing and limit radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. These conditions, combined with a mild airmass, support the market’s tight clustering around 9–11°C outcomes rather than deeper drops below 8°C or milder values above 12°C. Wellington’s exposed coastal topography and typical late-winter climatology (average overnight lows near 8–10°C) further anchor expectations, while minor model disagreements on wind strength and cloud timing sustain the balanced probabilities across leading resolutions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
11°C 30%
10°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
13%
7°C
49%
8°C
22%
9°C
27%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
49%
13°C
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
11%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
11°C 30%
10°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
8°C
$10 ปริมาณ
22%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
13°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
14°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from MetService and global models point to a Wellington minimum near 10–11°C on August 30, driven by strong northwesterly winds (20–30+ knots) that promote mixing and limit radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. These conditions, combined with a mild airmass, support the market’s tight clustering around 9–11°C outcomes rather than deeper drops below 8°C or milder values above 12°C. Wellington’s exposed coastal topography and typical late-winter climatology (average overnight lows near 8–10°C) further anchor expectations, while minor model disagreements on wind strength and cloud timing sustain the balanced probabilities across leading resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$175วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from MetService and global models point to a Wellington minimum near 10–11°C on August 30, driven by strong northwesterly winds (20–30+ knots) that promote mixing and limit radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. These conditions, combined with a mild airmass, support the market’s tight clustering around 9–11°C outcomes rather than deeper drops below 8°C or milder values above 12°C. Wellington’s exposed coastal topography and typical late-winter climatology (average overnight lows near 8–10°C) further anchor expectations, while minor model disagreements on wind strength and cloud timing sustain the balanced probabilities across leading resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$175วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from MetService and global models point to a Wellington minimum near 10–11°C on August 30, driven by strong northwesterly winds (20–30+ knots) that promote mixing and limit radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. These conditions, combined with a mild airmass, support the market’s tight clustering around 9–11°C outcomes rather than deeper drops below 8°C or milder values above 12°C. Wellington’s exposed coastal topography and typical late-winter climatology (average overnight lows near 8–10°C) further anchor expectations, while minor model disagreements on wind strength and cloud timing sustain the balanced probabilities across leading resolutions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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