Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 19?
25°C or higher 92%
18°C 47%
15°C or below 36%
19°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
15°C or below
36%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
47%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C
9%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
92%
25°C or higher 92%
18°C 47%
15°C or below 36%
19°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
15°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
18°C
$10 ปริมาณ
47%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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