Recent April CPI data, which rose 0.6 percent month-over-month and lifted the annual rate to 3.8 percent, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May print. Geopolitical pressures from energy markets and lingering shelter costs have kept headline momentum elevated, while core measures have shown modest cooling. With 0.5 percent and 0.6 percent outcomes nearly tied at 36.5 percent and 37.5 percent implied probability, market-implied odds highlight uncertainty over whether May’s energy component will moderate or extend the prior month’s surge. Traders are watching crude oil trajectories and early May labor and price indicators ahead of the June 10 release, as any surprise in gasoline or services could shift the balance between these two leading scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Monthly
0.6% 42%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
36%
0.6%
38%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
8%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
36%
0.6%
38%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
8%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, which rose 0.6 percent month-over-month and lifted the annual rate to 3.8 percent, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May print. Geopolitical pressures from energy markets and lingering shelter costs have kept headline momentum elevated, while core measures have shown modest cooling. With 0.5 percent and 0.6 percent outcomes nearly tied at 36.5 percent and 37.5 percent implied probability, market-implied odds highlight uncertainty over whether May’s energy component will moderate or extend the prior month’s surge. Traders are watching crude oil trajectories and early May labor and price indicators ahead of the June 10 release, as any surprise in gasoline or services could shift the balance between these two leading scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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