Current conditions in the Atlantic basin show no tropical disturbances or cyclones according to the National Hurricane Center’s initial Tropical Weather Outlook issued May 15, with formation not expected through the next seven days. This aligns with the climatological pattern of minimal pre-season activity, as sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions typically remain unfavorable for organized development until June. Seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project a below-average 2026 season overall, citing the transition toward El Niño conditions that tend to increase wind shear and suppress early cyclogenesis. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start, traders see limited opportunity for a named storm to form, though any unexpected late-May disturbance could shift the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNamed storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$341,219 ปริมาณ
$341,219 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$341,219 ปริมาณ
$341,219 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current conditions in the Atlantic basin show no tropical disturbances or cyclones according to the National Hurricane Center’s initial Tropical Weather Outlook issued May 15, with formation not expected through the next seven days. This aligns with the climatological pattern of minimal pre-season activity, as sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions typically remain unfavorable for organized development until June. Seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project a below-average 2026 season overall, citing the transition toward El Niño conditions that tend to increase wind shear and suppress early cyclogenesis. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start, traders see limited opportunity for a named storm to form, though any unexpected late-May disturbance could shift the market-implied odds.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$341,219วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current conditions in the Atlantic basin show no tropical disturbances or cyclones according to the National Hurricane Center’s initial Tropical Weather Outlook issued May 15, with formation not expected through the next seven days. This aligns with the climatological pattern of minimal pre-season activity, as sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions typically remain unfavorable for organized development until June. Seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project a below-average 2026 season overall, citing the transition toward El Niño conditions that tend to increase wind shear and suppress early cyclogenesis. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start, traders see limited opportunity for a named storm to form, though any unexpected late-May disturbance could shift the market-implied odds.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$341,219วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current conditions in the Atlantic basin show no tropical disturbances or cyclones according to the National Hurricane Center’s initial Tropical Weather Outlook issued May 15, with formation not expected through the next seven days. This aligns with the climatological pattern of minimal pre-season activity, as sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions typically remain unfavorable for organized development until June. Seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project a below-average 2026 season overall, citing the transition toward El Niño conditions that tend to increase wind shear and suppress early cyclogenesis. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start, traders see limited opportunity for a named storm to form, though any unexpected late-May disturbance could shift the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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