Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by consistent double-digit leads in late April polls from Emerson College, Albuquerque Journal, and Research & Polling, alongside dominant fundraising exceeding $14 million combined with rival Sam Bregman and endorsements from the Democratic Party of New Mexico pre-primary convention, National Education Association-NM, Equality New Mexico, and Santa Fe Mayor Alan Webber. Bernalillo County District Attorney Bregman trails at 8.5% on his prosecutorial record amid crime concerns, while former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to an independent bid. Upcoming debates and early voting could enable a Bregman surge via turnout in urban areas or attacks on Haaland's federal tenure, though her name recognition and Native voter support present high barriers to upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDeb Haaland 92%
Sam Bregman 9%
Ken Miyagishima <1%
$26,918 ปริมาณ
$26,918 ปริมาณ
Deb Haaland
92%
Sam Bregman
9%
Ken Miyagishima
<1%
Deb Haaland 92%
Sam Bregman 9%
Ken Miyagishima <1%
$26,918 ปริมาณ
$26,918 ปริมาณ
Deb Haaland
92%
Sam Bregman
9%
Ken Miyagishima
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 91% implied probability to win New Mexico's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by consistent double-digit leads in late April polls from Emerson College, Albuquerque Journal, and Research & Polling, alongside dominant fundraising exceeding $14 million combined with rival Sam Bregman and endorsements from the Democratic Party of New Mexico pre-primary convention, National Education Association-NM, Equality New Mexico, and Santa Fe Mayor Alan Webber. Bernalillo County District Attorney Bregman trails at 8.5% on his prosecutorial record amid crime concerns, while former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to an independent bid. Upcoming debates and early voting could enable a Bregman surge via turnout in urban areas or attacks on Haaland's federal tenure, though her name recognition and Native voter support present high barriers to upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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