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การเมือง·การเลือกตั้งในฝรั่งเศส

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
การเมือง·การเลือกตั้งในฝรั่งเศส

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

ใหม่
Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$2,952 ปริมาณ

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 ปริมาณ

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 ปริมาณ

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 ปริมาณ

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 ปริมาณ

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 ปริมาณ

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 ปริมาณ

24%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 ปริมาณ

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 ปริมาณ

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 ปริมาณ

21%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 ปริมาณ

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 ปริมาณ

6%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$50 ปริมาณ

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 ปริมาณ

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 ปริมาณ

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 ปริมาณ

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 ปริมาณ

7%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 ปริมาณ

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 ปริมาณ

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 ปริมาณ

35%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 ปริมาณ

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 ปริมาณ

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 ปริมาณ

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,952
วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2027
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,952
วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2027
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 37 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "Jordan Bardella" ที่ 80% ตามด้วย "Édouard Philippe" ที่ 46% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 80¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 80% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Jun 1, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ดู 37 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" คือ "Jordan Bardella" ที่ 80% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 80% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "Édouard Philippe" ที่ 46% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้