Incumbent Chris Pappas's decision to pursue New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat has created a competitive primary landscape in the Democratic-leaning NH-01 district ahead of the September 8 primaries, but trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 86.4% implied probability, reflecting the party's decade-long hold on the seat and strong fundraising from frontrunners like Maura Sullivan ($1.5 million cash-on-hand as of late April). Recent tensions at the April 25 McIntyre-Shaheen Dinner highlighted divides between establishment and progressive Democratic contenders such as Sarah Chadzynski and Carleigh Beriont, while Republicans remain fragmented despite Anthony DiLorenzo's leading cash reserves and fresh Turning Point Action endorsement around May 13. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid the district's narrow 2024 presidential tilt, with national midterm dynamics and nominee strength as key variables before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,449 ปริมาณ
86%
Republican Party
$2,751 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Chris Pappas's decision to pursue New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat has created a competitive primary landscape in the Democratic-leaning NH-01 district ahead of the September 8 primaries, but trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 86.4% implied probability, reflecting the party's decade-long hold on the seat and strong fundraising from frontrunners like Maura Sullivan ($1.5 million cash-on-hand as of late April). Recent tensions at the April 25 McIntyre-Shaheen Dinner highlighted divides between establishment and progressive Democratic contenders such as Sarah Chadzynski and Carleigh Beriont, while Republicans remain fragmented despite Anthony DiLorenzo's leading cash reserves and fresh Turning Point Action endorsement around May 13. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid the district's narrow 2024 presidential tilt, with national midterm dynamics and nominee strength as key variables before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,200วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Chris Pappas's decision to pursue New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat has created a competitive primary landscape in the Democratic-leaning NH-01 district ahead of the September 8 primaries, but trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 86.4% implied probability, reflecting the party's decade-long hold on the seat and strong fundraising from frontrunners like Maura Sullivan ($1.5 million cash-on-hand as of late April). Recent tensions at the April 25 McIntyre-Shaheen Dinner highlighted divides between establishment and progressive Democratic contenders such as Sarah Chadzynski and Carleigh Beriont, while Republicans remain fragmented despite Anthony DiLorenzo's leading cash reserves and fresh Turning Point Action endorsement around May 13. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid the district's narrow 2024 presidential tilt, with national midterm dynamics and nominee strength as key variables before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,200วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Chris Pappas's decision to pursue New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat has created a competitive primary landscape in the Democratic-leaning NH-01 district ahead of the September 8 primaries, but trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 86.4% implied probability, reflecting the party's decade-long hold on the seat and strong fundraising from frontrunners like Maura Sullivan ($1.5 million cash-on-hand as of late April). Recent tensions at the April 25 McIntyre-Shaheen Dinner highlighted divides between establishment and progressive Democratic contenders such as Sarah Chadzynski and Carleigh Beriont, while Republicans remain fragmented despite Anthony DiLorenzo's leading cash reserves and fresh Turning Point Action endorsement around May 13. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid the district's narrow 2024 presidential tilt, with national midterm dynamics and nominee strength as key variables before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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