Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding 99.4% implied probability in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District due to her status as the first-term incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls show her leading challenger Paige Beauchemin by roughly 40 points among likely voters, reflecting strong name recognition, institutional support, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to Beauchemin’s under $50,000. Beauchemin, a Nashua state representative emphasizing progressive priorities and working-class credentials, has struggled to close the gap ahead of the vote. A late surge in challenger turnout or an unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
Maggie Goodlander
99%
Paige Beauchemin
1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
Maggie Goodlander
$2,826 ปริมาณ
99%
Paige Beauchemin
$2,434 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding 99.4% implied probability in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District due to her status as the first-term incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls show her leading challenger Paige Beauchemin by roughly 40 points among likely voters, reflecting strong name recognition, institutional support, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to Beauchemin’s under $50,000. Beauchemin, a Nashua state representative emphasizing progressive priorities and working-class credentials, has struggled to close the gap ahead of the vote. A late surge in challenger turnout or an unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,261วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding 99.4% implied probability in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District due to her status as the first-term incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls show her leading challenger Paige Beauchemin by roughly 40 points among likely voters, reflecting strong name recognition, institutional support, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to Beauchemin’s under $50,000. Beauchemin, a Nashua state representative emphasizing progressive priorities and working-class credentials, has struggled to close the gap ahead of the vote. A late surge in challenger turnout or an unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,261วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding 99.4% implied probability in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District due to her status as the first-term incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls show her leading challenger Paige Beauchemin by roughly 40 points among likely voters, reflecting strong name recognition, institutional support, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to Beauchemin’s under $50,000. Beauchemin, a Nashua state representative emphasizing progressive priorities and working-class credentials, has struggled to close the gap ahead of the vote. A late surge in challenger turnout or an unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย