Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors Brad Lander at 83% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads over incumbent Dan Goldman, including a May 7 Schoen Cooperman survey (pro-Goldman super PAC) showing Lander ahead 47%-42% among likely voters. Lander benefits from progressive endorsements like NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Our Revolution, bolstering his appeal in this deep-blue district spanning Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn waterfront areas. Goldman counters with Gov. Kathy Hochul's backing, union rallies on May 11, and over $1 million in self-funding pledged since April, yet polls indicate limited traction. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky trail far behind amid a cleared progressive lane. The June 23 primary remains competitive, with turnout and late spending key variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 18%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,942 ปริมาณ
$11,942 ปริมาณ
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
18%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
Brad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 18%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,942 ปริมาณ
$11,942 ปริมาณ
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
18%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors Brad Lander at 83% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads over incumbent Dan Goldman, including a May 7 Schoen Cooperman survey (pro-Goldman super PAC) showing Lander ahead 47%-42% among likely voters. Lander benefits from progressive endorsements like NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Our Revolution, bolstering his appeal in this deep-blue district spanning Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn waterfront areas. Goldman counters with Gov. Kathy Hochul's backing, union rallies on May 11, and over $1 million in self-funding pledged since April, yet polls indicate limited traction. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky trail far behind amid a cleared progressive lane. The June 23 primary remains competitive, with turnout and late spending key variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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