Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands 92% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his overwhelming fundraising edge—nearly $15 million cash-on-hand versus challenger Michael Blake's $65,000—and endorsements from figures like former Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Recent consolidation followed public defender Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on April 23, sidelining progressive critics and boosting Torres amid a fragmented field including Assemblymember Amanda Septimo. Blake, a former assemblyman attacking Torres' pro-Israel stance, holds 5.7% with union support like UNITE HERE but faces historical primary losses and limited resources. Upsets remain possible via scandals, late endorsements from Working Families Party or DSA, or surged progressive turnout, though traders price these risks low in the deep-blue Bronx district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRitchie Torres 92%
Michael Blake 5.7%
Dalourny Nemorin 1.3%
Amanda Septimo <1%
$29,859 ปริมาณ
$29,859 ปริมาณ
Ritchie Torres
92%
Michael Blake
6%
Dalourny Nemorin
1%
Amanda Septimo
<1%
Ritchie Torres 92%
Michael Blake 5.7%
Dalourny Nemorin 1.3%
Amanda Septimo <1%
$29,859 ปริมาณ
$29,859 ปริมาณ
Ritchie Torres
92%
Michael Blake
6%
Dalourny Nemorin
1%
Amanda Septimo
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands 92% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his overwhelming fundraising edge—nearly $15 million cash-on-hand versus challenger Michael Blake's $65,000—and endorsements from figures like former Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Recent consolidation followed public defender Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on April 23, sidelining progressive critics and boosting Torres amid a fragmented field including Assemblymember Amanda Septimo. Blake, a former assemblyman attacking Torres' pro-Israel stance, holds 5.7% with union support like UNITE HERE but faces historical primary losses and limited resources. Upsets remain possible via scandals, late endorsements from Working Families Party or DSA, or surged progressive turnout, though traders price these risks low in the deep-blue Bronx district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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