Recent polling from June 2026 shows Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round scenarios for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election with 39-42% support, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 18-20% and Rafael Greca (MDB) near 14%, establishing trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for Moro. His party switch to PL secured bolsonarista backing ahead of formal candidacy deadlines, while the open race—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Júnior (PSD)—leaves limited momentum for successors like Sandro Alex. Multiple other declared or speculated names remain fragmented below 15%, with two-thirds of voters indicating their preferences could shift before the first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วParaná Governor Election Winner
Paraná Governor Election Winner
Sergio Moro 68%
Requião Filho 20%
Rafael Greca 6.7%
Alexandre Curi 5.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
Sergio Moro
68%
Requião Filho
20%
Rafael Greca
7%
Alexandre Curi
6%
Beto Richa
1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Sergio Moro 68%
Requião Filho 20%
Rafael Greca 6.7%
Alexandre Curi 5.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
Sergio Moro
$3,111 ปริมาณ
68%
Requião Filho
$225 ปริมาณ
20%
Rafael Greca
$201 ปริมาณ
7%
Alexandre Curi
$143 ปริมาณ
6%
Beto Richa
$202 ปริมาณ
1%
Enio Verri
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
Guto Silva
$133 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from June 2026 shows Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round scenarios for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election with 39-42% support, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 18-20% and Rafael Greca (MDB) near 14%, establishing trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for Moro. His party switch to PL secured bolsonarista backing ahead of formal candidacy deadlines, while the open race—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Júnior (PSD)—leaves limited momentum for successors like Sandro Alex. Multiple other declared or speculated names remain fragmented below 15%, with two-thirds of voters indicating their preferences could shift before the first round.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,144วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from June 2026 shows Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round scenarios for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election with 39-42% support, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 18-20% and Rafael Greca (MDB) near 14%, establishing trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for Moro. His party switch to PL secured bolsonarista backing ahead of formal candidacy deadlines, while the open race—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Júnior (PSD)—leaves limited momentum for successors like Sandro Alex. Multiple other declared or speculated names remain fragmented below 15%, with two-thirds of voters indicating their preferences could shift before the first round.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,144วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from June 2026 shows Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round scenarios for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election with 39-42% support, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 18-20% and Rafael Greca (MDB) near 14%, establishing trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for Moro. His party switch to PL secured bolsonarista backing ahead of formal candidacy deadlines, while the open race—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Júnior (PSD)—leaves limited momentum for successors like Sandro Alex. Multiple other declared or speculated names remain fragmented below 15%, with two-thirds of voters indicating their preferences could shift before the first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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