Recent polling from firms including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the battle for second remains fragmented among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). Trader odds reflect this split, with no single challenger exceeding low-20s support and vote shares staying within a few points across April–August surveys. Party realignments, candidate withdrawals such as Miguel Coelho’s exit, and the two-seat electoral system continue to sustain uncertainty. Any late consolidation behind one contender or stronger regional turnout could shift probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPaulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 27%
Mariano Macedo 26%
Carlos Sant'Anna 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%
Samuel Timoteo
27%
Mariano Macedo
26%
Carlos Sant'Anna
26%
Túlio Gadêlha
26%
Gorett Bitu
26%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
23%
Marília Arraes
22%
Mailson da Silva Neto
22%
Eduardo da Fonte
21%
Humberto Costa
21%
Mendonça Filho
21%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 27%
Mariano Macedo 26%
Carlos Sant'Anna 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Mariano Macedo
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Gorett Bitu
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
Marília Arraes
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
Humberto Costa
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
Mendonça Filho
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from firms including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the battle for second remains fragmented among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). Trader odds reflect this split, with no single challenger exceeding low-20s support and vote shares staying within a few points across April–August surveys. Party realignments, candidate withdrawals such as Miguel Coelho’s exit, and the two-seat electoral system continue to sustain uncertainty. Any late consolidation behind one contender or stronger regional turnout could shift probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from firms including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the battle for second remains fragmented among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). Trader odds reflect this split, with no single challenger exceeding low-20s support and vote shares staying within a few points across April–August surveys. Party realignments, candidate withdrawals such as Miguel Coelho’s exit, and the two-seat electoral system continue to sustain uncertainty. Any late consolidation behind one contender or stronger regional turnout could shift probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from firms including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the battle for second remains fragmented among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). Trader odds reflect this split, with no single challenger exceeding low-20s support and vote shares staying within a few points across April–August surveys. Party realignments, candidate withdrawals such as Miguel Coelho’s exit, and the two-seat electoral system continue to sustain uncertainty. Any late consolidation behind one contender or stronger regional turnout could shift probabilities ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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