MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market, scheduled for 27 September 2026, reflecting trader consensus on its strong recent momentum. Incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s first-round re-election on 19 July with 55.9 percent, backed by the party, has consolidated support ahead of the vote for the 55-seat National Assembly. The ADI, which won 30 seats in 2022 but faced a government crisis after the president dismissed its prime minister in January 2025, now contends with internal divisions and trails significantly. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions are contesting under proportional representation, yet none show comparable organizational strength or recent electoral success. Late developments such as turnout patterns, final coalition alignments, or unexpected shifts in the diaspora vote could still alter the outcome, though the compressed timeline limits their likely impact.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMLSTP 91%
ADI 4.0%
Basta <1%
MCI-PS/PUN <1%
$16,524 ปริมาณ
$16,524 ปริมาณ
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
91%
ADI
4%
Basta
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
<1%
PCD
<1%
MDFM
<1%
Nossa Terra
<1%
MLSTP 91%
ADI 4.0%
Basta <1%
MCI-PS/PUN <1%
$16,524 ปริมาณ
$16,524 ปริมาณ
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
$7,862 ปริมาณ
91%
ADI
$5,152 ปริมาณ
4%
Basta
$1,163 ปริมาณ
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
$537 ปริมาณ
<1%
PCD
$612 ปริมาณ
<1%
MDFM
$662 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nossa Terra
$537 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market, scheduled for 27 September 2026, reflecting trader consensus on its strong recent momentum. Incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s first-round re-election on 19 July with 55.9 percent, backed by the party, has consolidated support ahead of the vote for the 55-seat National Assembly. The ADI, which won 30 seats in 2022 but faced a government crisis after the president dismissed its prime minister in January 2025, now contends with internal divisions and trails significantly. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions are contesting under proportional representation, yet none show comparable organizational strength or recent electoral success. Late developments such as turnout patterns, final coalition alignments, or unexpected shifts in the diaspora vote could still alter the outcome, though the compressed timeline limits their likely impact.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,524วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market, scheduled for 27 September 2026, reflecting trader consensus on its strong recent momentum. Incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s first-round re-election on 19 July with 55.9 percent, backed by the party, has consolidated support ahead of the vote for the 55-seat National Assembly. The ADI, which won 30 seats in 2022 but faced a government crisis after the president dismissed its prime minister in January 2025, now contends with internal divisions and trails significantly. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions are contesting under proportional representation, yet none show comparable organizational strength or recent electoral success. Late developments such as turnout patterns, final coalition alignments, or unexpected shifts in the diaspora vote could still alter the outcome, though the compressed timeline limits their likely impact.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,524วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market, scheduled for 27 September 2026, reflecting trader consensus on its strong recent momentum. Incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova’s first-round re-election on 19 July with 55.9 percent, backed by the party, has consolidated support ahead of the vote for the 55-seat National Assembly. The ADI, which won 30 seats in 2022 but faced a government crisis after the president dismissed its prime minister in January 2025, now contends with internal divisions and trails significantly. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions are contesting under proportional representation, yet none show comparable organizational strength or recent electoral success. Late developments such as turnout patterns, final coalition alignments, or unexpected shifts in the diaspora vote could still alter the outcome, though the compressed timeline limits their likely impact.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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