Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$19,088 ปริมาณ
$19,088 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
5%
$19,088 ปริมาณ
$19,088 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$10,558 ปริมาณ
95%
Democrat
$8,530 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,088วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,088วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's strong re-election bid, backed by over $5.6 million in cash on hand and no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6 contest, anchors the 95.5% trader consensus for a GOP Senate hold in solidly Republican Tennessee. The state's GOP supermajorities, consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points, and safe Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore this positioning, with no recent polling or developments altering the landscape. Weak Democratic primary field—featuring Marquita Bradshaw, Maria Brewer, Civil Miller-Watkins, and Diana Onyejiaka, all reporting zero funds—further solidifies the imbalance. Realistic challenges include a surprise Hagerty primary upset, a post-primary high-profile Democrat recruit, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen scandal or health issues before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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