Incumbent Mitch McConnell's open Senate seat in deep-red Kentucky drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 94.3%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992—and strong polling in the May 19 Republican primary, where Rep. Andy Barr leads at 46% over Daniel Cameron's 27% per a May 9–11 UpOne Insights survey. Recent Emerson polling from early April similarly showed Barr ahead amid a fragmented field, with high GOP primary turnout expected to yield a viable nominee. Democrats, led by Charles Booker gaining ground but facing steep historical barriers, trail decisively. Upsets could arise from a weak Republican nominee post-primary, a major scandal, or national Democratic midterm momentum, though structural advantages like swing state absenteeism and incumbency-like party strength make these remote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKentucky Senate Election Winner
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
<1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,812 ปริมาณ
92%
Democrat
$4,310 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Mitch McConnell's open Senate seat in deep-red Kentucky drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 94.3%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992—and strong polling in the May 19 Republican primary, where Rep. Andy Barr leads at 46% over Daniel Cameron's 27% per a May 9–11 UpOne Insights survey. Recent Emerson polling from early April similarly showed Barr ahead amid a fragmented field, with high GOP primary turnout expected to yield a viable nominee. Democrats, led by Charles Booker gaining ground but facing steep historical barriers, trail decisively. Upsets could arise from a weak Republican nominee post-primary, a major scandal, or national Democratic midterm momentum, though structural advantages like swing state absenteeism and incumbency-like party strength make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,123วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Mitch McConnell's open Senate seat in deep-red Kentucky drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 94.3%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992—and strong polling in the May 19 Republican primary, where Rep. Andy Barr leads at 46% over Daniel Cameron's 27% per a May 9–11 UpOne Insights survey. Recent Emerson polling from early April similarly showed Barr ahead amid a fragmented field, with high GOP primary turnout expected to yield a viable nominee. Democrats, led by Charles Booker gaining ground but facing steep historical barriers, trail decisively. Upsets could arise from a weak Republican nominee post-primary, a major scandal, or national Democratic midterm momentum, though structural advantages like swing state absenteeism and incumbency-like party strength make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,123วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mitch McConnell's open Senate seat in deep-red Kentucky drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 94.3%, reflecting the state's consistent GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992—and strong polling in the May 19 Republican primary, where Rep. Andy Barr leads at 46% over Daniel Cameron's 27% per a May 9–11 UpOne Insights survey. Recent Emerson polling from early April similarly showed Barr ahead amid a fragmented field, with high GOP primary turnout expected to yield a viable nominee. Democrats, led by Charles Booker gaining ground but facing steep historical barriers, trail decisively. Upsets could arise from a weak Republican nominee post-primary, a major scandal, or national Democratic midterm momentum, though structural advantages like swing state absenteeism and incumbency-like party strength make these remote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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