Multiple Chinese and Western AI labs sit in a tight contest for third place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by month-end, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for several contenders and Z.ai holding the highest named probability at 43.5%. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Moonshot, Z.ai, Xiaomi, and DeepSeek models clustered within narrow score bands on mathematical reasoning tasks, driven by incremental gains in chain-of-thought prompting, specialized math corpora, and harness-based tool use. Western entries such as Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI models trail slightly but remain competitive through strong generalization on complex problem sets. With resolution days away, any late-September model update or fine-tuning run could reorder the middle ranks before the snapshot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วZ.ai 43.7%
Google 20%
Alibaba 18%
Meta 5.7%
$64,848 ปริมาณ
$64,848 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
44%
20%
Alibaba
18%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 43.7%
Google 20%
Alibaba 18%
Meta 5.7%
$64,848 ปริมาณ
$64,848 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
$7,233 ปริมาณ
44%
$7,267 ปริมาณ
20%
Alibaba
$14,076 ปริมาณ
18%
Meta
$1,947 ปริมาณ
6%
OpenAI
$9,925 ปริมาณ
4%
Moonshot
$2,787 ปริมาณ
3%
SpaceXAI
$1,992 ปริมาณ
2%
Xiaomi
$1,784 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$2,639 ปริมาณ
1%
Anthropic
$2,670 ปริมาณ
1%
Baidu
$2,632 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,553 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$1,535 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$743 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$756 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$575 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bytedance
$916 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$698 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple Chinese and Western AI labs sit in a tight contest for third place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by month-end, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for several contenders and Z.ai holding the highest named probability at 43.5%. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Moonshot, Z.ai, Xiaomi, and DeepSeek models clustered within narrow score bands on mathematical reasoning tasks, driven by incremental gains in chain-of-thought prompting, specialized math corpora, and harness-based tool use. Western entries such as Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI models trail slightly but remain competitive through strong generalization on complex problem sets. With resolution days away, any late-September model update or fine-tuning run could reorder the middle ranks before the snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,848วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple Chinese and Western AI labs sit in a tight contest for third place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by month-end, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for several contenders and Z.ai holding the highest named probability at 43.5%. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Moonshot, Z.ai, Xiaomi, and DeepSeek models clustered within narrow score bands on mathematical reasoning tasks, driven by incremental gains in chain-of-thought prompting, specialized math corpora, and harness-based tool use. Western entries such as Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI models trail slightly but remain competitive through strong generalization on complex problem sets. With resolution days away, any late-September model update or fine-tuning run could reorder the middle ranks before the snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,848วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Multiple Chinese and Western AI labs sit in a tight contest for third place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by month-end, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for several contenders and Z.ai holding the highest named probability at 43.5%. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Moonshot, Z.ai, Xiaomi, and DeepSeek models clustered within narrow score bands on mathematical reasoning tasks, driven by incremental gains in chain-of-thought prompting, specialized math corpora, and harness-based tool use. Western entries such as Google’s Gemini variants and OpenAI models trail slightly but remain competitive through strong generalization on complex problem sets. With resolution days away, any late-September model update or fine-tuning run could reorder the middle ranks before the snapshot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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