Recent polling aggregates from sources such as the Silver Bulletin, New York Times, and RealClearPolitics have placed President Trump’s job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, aligning closely with the 38.0–38.4 band that now dominates trader consensus. Economic dissatisfaction, including pessimism over inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies, has anchored these figures despite minor fluctuations in individual surveys. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these steady trends and historical polling patterns for second-term presidents. Late adjustments to the final Silver Bulletin model or an unexpected shift in a major poll released after September 11 could still move the outcome outside this narrow interval.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว38.0–38.4 97.0%
37.5–37.9 4.8%
38.5–38.9 2.8%
39.0–39.4 2.0%
$9,491 ปริมาณ
$9,491 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
5%
38.0–38.4
97%
38.5–38.9
3%
39.0–39.4
2%
39.5+
<1%
38.0–38.4 97.0%
37.5–37.9 4.8%
38.5–38.9 2.8%
39.0–39.4 2.0%
$9,491 ปริมาณ
$9,491 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$1,031 ปริมาณ
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,460 ปริมาณ
5%
38.0–38.4
$2,973 ปริมาณ
97%
38.5–38.9
$2,521 ปริมาณ
3%
39.0–39.4
$1,194 ปริมาณ
2%
39.5+
$312 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources such as the Silver Bulletin, New York Times, and RealClearPolitics have placed President Trump’s job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, aligning closely with the 38.0–38.4 band that now dominates trader consensus. Economic dissatisfaction, including pessimism over inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies, has anchored these figures despite minor fluctuations in individual surveys. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these steady trends and historical polling patterns for second-term presidents. Late adjustments to the final Silver Bulletin model or an unexpected shift in a major poll released after September 11 could still move the outcome outside this narrow interval.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,491วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources such as the Silver Bulletin, New York Times, and RealClearPolitics have placed President Trump’s job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, aligning closely with the 38.0–38.4 band that now dominates trader consensus. Economic dissatisfaction, including pessimism over inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies, has anchored these figures despite minor fluctuations in individual surveys. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these steady trends and historical polling patterns for second-term presidents. Late adjustments to the final Silver Bulletin model or an unexpected shift in a major poll released after September 11 could still move the outcome outside this narrow interval.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,491วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from sources such as the Silver Bulletin, New York Times, and RealClearPolitics have placed President Trump’s job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, aligning closely with the 38.0–38.4 band that now dominates trader consensus. Economic dissatisfaction, including pessimism over inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies, has anchored these figures despite minor fluctuations in individual surveys. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these steady trends and historical polling patterns for second-term presidents. Late adjustments to the final Silver Bulletin model or an unexpected shift in a major poll released after September 11 could still move the outcome outside this narrow interval.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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