**Stalled federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures explains the high implied probability against enactment before 2027.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Great American AI Act drafts, advanced through House committees in mid-2026 but have not reached floor votes amid partisan disagreements, tech industry lobbying, and preemption disputes over state laws. Senate negotiations involving leaders like Thune, Cruz, and Klobuchar continue on targeted provisions such as incident reporting and verification, yet the House adjourned in September without action, leaving limited session time before November midterms. President Trump has opposed new regulation, and only narrower measures like the 2025 Take It Down Act have passed. State-level AI rules have filled the gap instead, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and timing barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11% โอกาส
$132,418 ปริมาณ
$132,418 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
11% โอกาส
$132,418 ปริมาณ
$132,418 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Stalled federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures explains the high implied probability against enactment before 2027.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Great American AI Act drafts, advanced through House committees in mid-2026 but have not reached floor votes amid partisan disagreements, tech industry lobbying, and preemption disputes over state laws. Senate negotiations involving leaders like Thune, Cruz, and Klobuchar continue on targeted provisions such as incident reporting and verification, yet the House adjourned in September without action, leaving limited session time before November midterms. President Trump has opposed new regulation, and only narrower measures like the 2025 Take It Down Act have passed. State-level AI rules have filled the gap instead, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and timing barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$132,418วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Stalled federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures explains the high implied probability against enactment before 2027.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Great American AI Act drafts, advanced through House committees in mid-2026 but have not reached floor votes amid partisan disagreements, tech industry lobbying, and preemption disputes over state laws. Senate negotiations involving leaders like Thune, Cruz, and Klobuchar continue on targeted provisions such as incident reporting and verification, yet the House adjourned in September without action, leaving limited session time before November midterms. President Trump has opposed new regulation, and only narrower measures like the 2025 Take It Down Act have passed. State-level AI rules have filled the gap instead, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and timing barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$132,418วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Stalled federal legislative progress on comprehensive AI safety measures explains the high implied probability against enactment before 2027.** Multiple bipartisan proposals, including the FRONTIER Act and Great American AI Act drafts, advanced through House committees in mid-2026 but have not reached floor votes amid partisan disagreements, tech industry lobbying, and preemption disputes over state laws. Senate negotiations involving leaders like Thune, Cruz, and Klobuchar continue on targeted provisions such as incident reporting and verification, yet the House adjourned in September without action, leaving limited session time before November midterms. President Trump has opposed new regulation, and only narrower measures like the 2025 Take It Down Act have passed. State-level AI rules have filled the gap instead, with trader consensus reflecting these structural and timing barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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