US officials proposed additional 10-12.5% tariffs on Chinese goods and dozens of other trading partners on June 3, 2026, citing forced-labor concerns under Section 301 investigations, signaling continued pressure rather than broad de-escalation. Existing arrangements from 2025, including suspended reciprocal tariffs and certain Chinese retaliatory measures, remain in place only until November 10, 2026, with no public announcements or scheduled bilateral summits pointing to a new mutual tariff pact before June 30. Recent sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases and market access during May 2026 meetings have not extended to comprehensive tariff reductions or a formal framework agreement. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for No, as no verifiable catalyst for resolution within the narrow remaining window has emerged.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$26,097 ปริมาณ
$26,097 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$26,097 ปริมาณ
$26,097 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US officials proposed additional 10-12.5% tariffs on Chinese goods and dozens of other trading partners on June 3, 2026, citing forced-labor concerns under Section 301 investigations, signaling continued pressure rather than broad de-escalation. Existing arrangements from 2025, including suspended reciprocal tariffs and certain Chinese retaliatory measures, remain in place only until November 10, 2026, with no public announcements or scheduled bilateral summits pointing to a new mutual tariff pact before June 30. Recent sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases and market access during May 2026 meetings have not extended to comprehensive tariff reductions or a formal framework agreement. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for No, as no verifiable catalyst for resolution within the narrow remaining window has emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,097วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US officials proposed additional 10-12.5% tariffs on Chinese goods and dozens of other trading partners on June 3, 2026, citing forced-labor concerns under Section 301 investigations, signaling continued pressure rather than broad de-escalation. Existing arrangements from 2025, including suspended reciprocal tariffs and certain Chinese retaliatory measures, remain in place only until November 10, 2026, with no public announcements or scheduled bilateral summits pointing to a new mutual tariff pact before June 30. Recent sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases and market access during May 2026 meetings have not extended to comprehensive tariff reductions or a formal framework agreement. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for No, as no verifiable catalyst for resolution within the narrow remaining window has emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,097วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US officials proposed additional 10-12.5% tariffs on Chinese goods and dozens of other trading partners on June 3, 2026, citing forced-labor concerns under Section 301 investigations, signaling continued pressure rather than broad de-escalation. Existing arrangements from 2025, including suspended reciprocal tariffs and certain Chinese retaliatory measures, remain in place only until November 10, 2026, with no public announcements or scheduled bilateral summits pointing to a new mutual tariff pact before June 30. Recent sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases and market access during May 2026 meetings have not extended to comprehensive tariff reductions or a formal framework agreement. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for No, as no verifiable catalyst for resolution within the narrow remaining window has emerged.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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