Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary in the 5th Congressional District produced clear advancement for incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner and Democrat Carmela Conroy. Baumgartner led with roughly 47 percent of the vote, while Conroy captured about 21 percent; independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent. The results align with the district's established Republican tilt and Baumgartner's prior performance, leaving the top-two pairing to contest the November general. Washington's nonpartisan primary format and rapid vote reporting limited uncertainty once tallies stabilized. Certification timelines and any minor outstanding ballots remain the primary variables for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$9,233 ปริมาณ

Carmela Conroy
99%

Nate Powell
6%

Matthew Hayes
2%

Ann Marie Danimus
2%

Kevin Fagan
2%

Kyle Ursey
1%

Bajun Mavalwalla
1%

David Womack
1%

Andrew Bartleson
<1%
$9,233 ปริมาณ

Carmela Conroy
99%

Nate Powell
6%

Matthew Hayes
2%

Ann Marie Danimus
2%

Kevin Fagan
2%

Kyle Ursey
1%

Bajun Mavalwalla
1%

David Womack
1%

Andrew Bartleson
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary in the 5th Congressional District produced clear advancement for incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner and Democrat Carmela Conroy. Baumgartner led with roughly 47 percent of the vote, while Conroy captured about 21 percent; independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent. The results align with the district's established Republican tilt and Baumgartner's prior performance, leaving the top-two pairing to contest the November general. Washington's nonpartisan primary format and rapid vote reporting limited uncertainty once tallies stabilized. Certification timelines and any minor outstanding ballots remain the primary variables for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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